City of Stirling Transport Asset Managment Plan

4.1 Demand forecast Factors affecting the demand of transport assets and services include population increase as well as changes in demographics, climate, service standards, land use, community preferences and expectations, travel patterns,

Table 4.1 below summarises the demand trends identified by the City and their impacts on service delivery.

Forecasting demand factors and trends and recognising service strategies assist the City in understanding the transport network portfolio needs across the City. Further specifics are detailed in the Local Planning Strategy.

government policy and increased urbanisation.

Demand factor

Present position Projection

Impact on services

Population

219,918 (2016 Census)

Increased population of 294,997 in 2031

Increased number of dwellings and customers expecting appropriate road network performance and provision An increase in the aged population has the potential to increase demand on services specific to that demographic

Demographics (2016 Census)

0-15

39,145 As the population continues to age, the percentage of residents over 65 years is forecast to increase

15-64 146,686 65+ 34,087 9 km of Additional laneways since 2013-14 Current network of 942 km

Laneways initiative

Additional 60 km of assets over 20 years

Maintenance regime of these assets needs to be defined and implemented Increase in the number of footpath assets requiring ongoing maintenance

Footpath project

Increase to 1,050 km by 2036

Stirling – Osborne Park (including industrial area) – Project: Stirling City Centre Innaloo – Doubleview – Projects: Scarborough Beach Road Corridor and Stirling City Centre Scarborough – Projects: Scarborough Beach Road Corridor

Identified growth area

Population increase in area to 21,067 by 2031 (14% growth expected)

Construction of new assets and upgrade to existing network will be required

Identified growth area

Population increase in area by 2031 to 30,589 (16% growth expected)

Construction of new assets and upgrade to existing network will be required

Identified growth area

Population increase in area by 2031 to 25,025 (10% growth expected)

Construction of new assets and upgrade to existing network will be required

and Metropolitan Redevelopment Agency area

Nollamara – Westminster

Identified growth area

Population increase in area by 2031 to 31,152 (10% growth expected)

Construction of new assets and upgrade to existing network may be required

– Project: part of Better Suburbs

Table 4.1 Demand drivers, projections and impact on services

• Remaining useful life of existing infrastructure • Early failure of some donated assets.

For capital and maintenance works, the demand drivers include: • Rapid asset growth • Increased age of existing assets • Increased community expectation of accountability of asset maintenance

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